T · Q1 2026 Earnings
BullishAT&T
Reported April 22, 2026
30-second summary
30-second take: AT&T's first quarter under the new segment reporting delivered Advanced Connectivity revenue of $28.47B (+4.7% YoY) — below the "6%+" framing Stankey teed up last quarter — while Q1 FCF printed $2.5B, at the high end of the $2.0–2.5B guide, and every FY26 line item was reaffirmed (adjusted EPS $2.25–$2.35, FCF $18B+, EBITDA growth 3–4%). Adjusted EPS of $0.57 was up nearly 12% YoY, mapping cleanly to the reaffirmed FY range. Postpaid phone net adds of 294K with postpaid phone churn of 0.89% — well below the 1.15% line that would have broken the convergence-offsets-churn argument — alongside 292K fiber net adds and 584K total internet net adds, validate that Q4's elevated churn was seasonal, not structural. The most important new disclosure is the Advanced Connectivity operating margin at 24.1% and the explicit net-leverage trajectory tied to the EchoStar deal (3.2x post-close, 3.0x by end of 2026, 2.5x within ~3 years).
Headline numbers
EPS
Q1 FY2026
$0.54
Revenue
Q1 FY2026
$31.51B
+2.9% YoY
Free cash flow
Q1 FY2026
$2.72B
Operating margin
Q1 FY2026
21.1%
Key financials
Q1 FY2026| Metric | Q1 FY2026 | YoY | Q4 FY2025 | QoQ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $31.51B | +2.9% | $33.47B | -5.9% |
| EPS | $0.54 | — | $0.53 | +1.9% |
| Operating margin | 21.1% | — | 17.3% | +380bps |
| Free cash flow | $2.72B | — | — | — |
Guidance
Guidance is issued for both next quarter and the full year. Both may appear below.
Actuals vs prior guidance
| Metric | Period | Prior guide | Actual | Δ | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Free cash flow | Q1 FY2026 | $2.0 billion to $2.5 billion | $2.718 billion | +$0.218 billion above guide | Beat |
New guidance
| Metric | Period | Guide | YoY |
|---|---|---|---|
| Consolidated service revenue growth | FY2026 | Low single digit growth | — |
| Wireless service revenue growth | FY2026 | 2% to 3% | — |
| Fiber reach growth | FY2026 | About 8 million locations | — |
| Advanced connectivity service revenue growth | FY2026 | 5% plus growth | — |
| Advanced connectivity EBITDA growth | FY2026 | 6% plus | — |
| Legacy service revenues decline | FY2026 | 20% plus decline | — |
| Business service revenues (Advanced Connectivity segment) | FY2026 | Stable in near term, low single-digit CAGR through 2028 | — |
| Share repurchases | FY2026 | Approximately $8 billion | — |
| Total shareholder returns | FY2026-2028 | $45 billion plus over 2026-2028 | — |
| Net leverage ratio | FY2026 | ~3.2x post-EchoStar, decline to ~3.0x by end of 2026, return to ~2.5x within ~3 years | — |
Reaffirmed unchanged this quarter: Adjusted EBITDA growth (3% to 4%), Free cash flow ($18 billion plus), Adjusted EPS ($2.25 to $2.35)
Segment performance
Q1 FY2026| Segment | Q1 FY2026 | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Advanced Connectivity | $28.471B | +4.7% |
| Legacy | $1.768B | -25.3% |
| Latin America | $1.173B | +20.8% |
| Wireless Service | $17.694B | +2.5% |
| Advanced Home Internet | $2.799B | +27.3% |
| Business Fiber and Advanced Connectivity | $1.882B | +7.2% |
Platform metrics
Q1 FY2026| Segment | Q1 FY2026 |
|---|---|
| Retail Wireless Net Adds | 158 thousand |
| Postpaid Phone Net Adds | 294 thousand |
| Internet Net Adds | 584 thousand |
| Fiber Net Adds | 292 thousand |
| Postpaid Phone Churn | 0.89% |
Profitability
Q1 FY2026| Segment | Q1 FY2026 |
|---|---|
| Advanced Connectivity Operating Margin | 24.1% |
| Capital Expenditures | 4.877 billion |
| Operating Cash Flow | 7.595 billion |
Management tone
Q2: Capex-forward growth pivot → Q3: Convergence flywheel hardened → Q4: Advanced Connectivity segment reset → Q1: "Structural advantage" claim
Three quarters ago AT&T was defending fiber-and-5G investments as growth initiatives; this quarter they are framed as a moat that competitors cannot close. Q2 FY25 invoked the 1996 Telecom Act as a policy tailwind; Q3 hardened convergence into the operating thesis; Q4 announced the segment-reporting split to force the market to value advanced connectivity separately; this quarter Stankey made the strongest competitive claim of his tenure: "After years of industry-leading investments in our fiber and wireless network, we believe that we have now established a structural advantage that others will not catch." That sentence is a notable escalation from "convergence flywheel" — it claims the moat is built, not building. Whether 4.7% Advanced Connectivity growth (vs. the 6%+ framing teed up last quarter) supports a "structural advantage" claim is the open question.
Business segment stabilization went from forecast to fact this quarter. Q3 FY25 framed business wireline as bleeding; Q4 FY25 introduced the "advanced connectivity business stable through 2028" framing; this quarter management said: "During the first quarter, advanced connectivity business service revenues stabilized on a year-over-year basis for the first time ever." Business Fiber and Advanced Connectivity at +7.2% YoY is the evidence. This is the line item bears have used to argue AT&T can't grow consolidated revenue meaningfully; if it holds, the bull case widens.
Lumen integration shifted from "deal closed, ramp pending" to "above pre-transaction sales trends." Q4 framed Lumen as a cost-leadership lever; this quarter management said: "sales activity well above pre-transaction trends." Combined with the detailed leverage trajectory (3.2x → 3.0x → 2.5x), the integration story is now front-foot rather than defensive. Pascal flagged Lumen as an immaterial EBITDA contributor in 2026 with monthly improvement expected through the back half.
AI as network-architecture driver displaces AI as future opportunity. A year ago AI was largely absent from AT&T's narrative; Q3/Q4 introduced it as a future load consideration; this quarter management framed it as the immediate architecture driver: "We expect AI to fundamentally transform network requirements beyond download speeds to the ability to support symmetrical capacity, ultra-low latency, and session control across multiple access technologies under sustained load. And that's how we're architecting our converged network." This is the network-investment-justification narrative the bulls have wanted — symmetrical capacity is fiber's structural advantage over cable.
Pricing posture has crossed from "we're opting out of the device-subsidy spiral" to telling investors how to model it. Stankey: "This is how you should expect us to go to market as we accelerate the expansion of our fiber availability with offers and marketing strategies that yield attractive returns." That is prescriptive language — management is not defending the strategy, they're telling analysts to bake it into models. Combined with Mike Ng's Q&A confirmation that pricing actions took effect in April with full benefits visible from Q2 onward, the back half should show pricing flow-through.
Recurring themes management leaned on this quarter:
Risks management surfaced:
Q&A highlights
Michael Rollins · Citi
How is AT&T defining 'open' in its communications network strategy, and how does this impact go-to-market and partnerships? Also, what is driving consumer mobility account growth and how is AT&T balancing account growth, ARPA, and convergence versus core mobility services?
Management defined 'open' as two key thrusts: (1) opening aspects of the wireless network to manage supply chain costs and performance, with new spectrum deployment starting after EchoStar closes; (2) complete re-engineering of the network core through flattened, integrated routing infrastructure that supports APIs for traffic control and flexibility. Account growth is driven primarily by converging customers, with new one-to-two line accounts coming in below average line size, indicating new-to-company customers. Growth is also supported by Internet Air convergence with new customers in areas targeted for future fiber deployment, and business account growth stabilizing advanced connectivity service revenues.
David Barden · New Street Research
How will the EchoStar spectrum acquisition augment the business and generate returns? Also, provide updates on the copper retirement program, FCC advancements, and associated cost savings and returns.
EchoStar spectrum improves network performance and perception in key markets, with already-deployed leased spectrum showing measurable perception shifts. Spectrum acquisition creates capital efficiency versus alternative capacity investment. The spectrum also expands Internet Air penetration and distribution, enabling business customers to complete 100% of bids versus 65-70% previously. On copper retirement, 30% of wire centers are on definitive shutdown schedules, with more scheduled in coming months. The FCC order provides a clear roadmap; copper retirement reduces operating costs, improves cybersecurity and resiliency, and is forecasted into forward guidance through 2030.
Sean Diffley · Morgan Stanley
How does AT&T assess and plan for the perceived threat from satellite broadband and direct-to-sell? Would AT&T consider MVNOs with emerging satellite players, and how does satellite compare to fixed wireless learnings?
Management emphasized that AT&T's strategy is building the best converged network with owned foundational assets (fiber, wireless, core routing architecture). Regarding satellite threats, management noted that LEO deployment is complex and won't follow a straight line; satellite works well outdoors but poorly indoors, and customers expect always-on reliability built over decades of infrastructure investment. Management prefers wholesale relationships with multiple satellite constellations (ideally three serving the US) rather than MVNO arrangements. Management does not view direct satellite as an MVNO opportunity and highlighted confidence in fiber's lowest marginal cost and superior performance as the primary competitive moat. AT&T plans 60+ million fiber homes by 2030.
Peter Cepino · Wolf Research
Does the declining DSL subscriber base affect AT&T's view of the broadband market trajectory, particularly regarding fiber volume growth, fiber pricing, and FWA pricing?
Management noted that DSL base is now tiny and that DSL-to-fiber migration is increasingly difficult due to lack of remaining DSL customers. Fiber growth has been consistent, with recent growth driven by new-new customers rather than DSL conversions. Management acknowledged that the remaining DSL base includes price-sensitive customers who may self-select for cheaper alternatives, and that AT&T needs to improve addressing all customer segments. The company views getting from 0-40% fiber penetration as highly profitable, and 40-50% penetration requires different strategies including value-oriented offerings. Management indicated willingness to accept ARPU dilution to convert price-sensitive DSL holdouts at 40-50% penetration, viewing this as economically rational for long-term value creation.
Mike Ng · Goldman Sachs
Will the shift away from device subsidies be gradual as OneConnect gains traction or a harder shift across 2.0 plans? What are the key drivers for EBITDA acceleration in Q2 and throughout the year?
Management emphasized a gradual portfolio rebalancing rather than an abrupt switch away from devices. OneConnect is a foundational capability that will be iterated on over coming quarters to balance the portfolio. The goal is to help customers understand the inherent value of the network versus device subsidies. On EBITDA acceleration, Pascal identified three key drivers: (1) wireless growth from converged relationships with pricing actions beginning in April; (2) Lumen asset scaling, with monthly performance improving as the organization stands up, continuing fiber net adds and converged growth; (3) seasonal headwinds in Q1 (annual incentive comp, holiday device payments) dissipating in Q2+. Service revenue and EBITDA expected to improve gradually through the year with full benefits of pricing actions visible from Q2 onward.
Answers to last quarter's watch list
What to watch into next quarter
Q2 FCF vs. $4.0–$4.5B guide — Pascal said Q2 should see partial benefit of April pricing actions plus Lumen monthly improvement plus the lapping of Q1 seasonal cash headwinds. A print at or above the high end is required to keep the FY $18B+ build on a credible glide path.
Wireless service revenue growth re-acceleration — Q1 Advanced Connectivity wireless service revenue grew just +1.7%, below the 2–3% FY guide. Management explicitly said Q2 should improve as April pricing actions flow through. Q2 needs to clear at least the low end of the 2–3% band to validate the FY guide; another sub-2% print forces a guidance conversation.
Advanced Connectivity revenue growth vs. 5%+ guide — Q1 printed +4.7%, below the 5%+ FY target. Q2 needs to clear 5% to validate the FY guide; another quarter sub-5% forces management to either trim the AC guide or rely on H2 acceleration to make the FY arithmetic work.
Postpaid phone churn re-test — 0.89% in Q1 cleared the bear threshold, but Q2 typically sees higher device activity. Watch whether churn drifts back above 0.95% — if so, the "feature not a bug" defense is on thinner ice than the Q1 print suggests.
Legacy decline cadence — Q1 printed -25.3% YoY vs. the 20%+ decline guide. If the cadence holds, FY26 legacy revenue lands well below the guide-implied range, which accelerates the mix shift but creates a ~$1B+ revenue headwind to consolidated growth that needs Advanced Connectivity to absorb.
EchoStar close timing and net-leverage step-up — Management framed leverage as going to ~3.2x post-close. Watch the close announcement and the first balance-sheet snapshot showing the leverage walk; any slip beyond ~3.2x raises questions about deal financing assumptions.
Sources
- AT&T Q1 FY2026 Press Release (Exhibit 99.2), filed with SEC on 2026-04-22: https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/732717/000073271726000203/t-1q2026exhibit992.htm
- AT&T Q1 FY2026 earnings call commentary (CEO John Stankey and CFO Pascal Desroches), as referenced in extracted guidance and Q&A.
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